something

Like the SMO?

I’m not saying Donald is a russian asset… But what more could daddy vladdy wish for?

Yup, most likely. For starters it’s the obvious things like austerity and deferring costs where possible. But states also borrow against future tax income - that’s their main lever. It’s not the same as printing money, but if investors dry up and central banks step in, it starts to blur. In that case, inflation ends up being the fallback tool to soften the real burden.

Right now, the weirdness that is war economy keeps the books somewhat balanced, but as soon as it’s time to revert to a civilian economy the pain will hit.

Daddy vladdy can’t win this war. But he can’t afford to stop it either. The longer it goes on, the worse the economic fallout.

After WWII, the Allies faced some short-term economic adjustment as wartime production wound down. In the U.S., there was a brief period of inflation and industrial transition, but a major recession didn’t happen. Consumer demand surged, and rebuilding Europe helped sustain economic momentum, though this relied more on civilian goods and infrastructure than military exports. For russia, that kind of soft landing seems unlikely. With Syria largely incapacitated, Iran probably not prioritizing imports any time soon, and Russians military hardware reputation damaged in Ukraine, it’s hard to see a strong export-driven recovery for russia.

Well, North Korea would probably love to import whatever russia can export… But they’re not exactly the international equivalent of scrooge mcduck.

People of Venice! The time has come to show the world what you’re made of, and more importantly, what you’ve got inside.

Let the canals bear witness to your courage. Not with arms, but with… offerings. I want to see a million floating turds on that sacred day. Let this wedding be remembered. Not for love, but for sheer intestinal audacity.

Take a stand, take a squat, and defecate for dignity.

Fate la storia. Fate galleggiare la gloria.

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It can’t, but hopefully it’s punitive enough for the ship owner and bridge crew to know that taking money from FSB won’t be worth it.

Any ship caught doing this crap should be impounded and repo’ed to pay for the damage with its bridge crew in lockup for sabotage.

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The official stance is that they’re not being released until after the war is over. But there are some indicators:

• A defensive force usually loses a lot fewer personnel
• There is plenty of evidence of russia using baiting/sacrificial assaults, one step removed from human wave attacks.

It is therefor reasonable to estimate that Ukraine has lost much fewer than russia.

The estimates are Casualties, which include injuries.

In an offensive war, generally speaking, casualties are usually estimated to be two to three injuries (moderate to severe) per death. Basically, a casualty is anyone who has sustained injuries that put them out of the fight either temporarily (a couple of hours+) or permanently.

If these numbers are correct*, we’re talking about roughly 250k to 333k killed, the rest being injured.

Source: It was a rule of thumb I learned eons ago in the army. I’m curious how accurate it is nowadays with irate drones violently shoving unlubed howitzer shells down your throat.

*: The official stance from Ukrainian intelligence is that these numbers have been visually confirmed. They are reasonably close to the estimates published by british intelligence, so while inaccuracies are to be expected due to the fog of war, it is probably the closest official number we’ll have until the war is over.

I’m starting to think a three day speshul military operation may not have been a good idea.

Throw him in the Lulags!

Best resource distribution (economic) model according to tankies: “Trust me bro”

Are you really claiming that sending healthy young men into the meat grinder is detrimental to birth rates? No wonder why they need to kidnap Ukranian children.

The beloved and benevolent putin is merely protecting the country from the overpopulation seen in the west.

I hear he wants to build a presidential vacation home on the virgin Islands.

War Economies are weird. The only reason why the numbers are that high is because of all the military spending. Transitioning to peace time will cause russian economic collapse.

War economies usually crash when trying to return to normalcy. That’s why Putin doesn’t want peace at reasonable terms: Because if he doesn’t have a total and complete victory, it’s going to be hard to distract from the complete and total collapse. The longer this goes on, the worse the fall will be, but he doesn’t have much of a choice.

This is (one of the reasons) why I hope sanctions remain in place even after a peace deal - Because there will be one obvious person that can be thrown under the bus, and I’m sure most russians secretly want to see the main defenestrator defenestrated.

Well, officers tend to prepare and fight based on the previous war. Because you can’t really plan for something that you don’t know exist yet.

But then there are those who manage to adapt anyway. They do reasonably OK. (The average officer).

And then there are those who manage to innovate on top of that. They tend to do pretty well. (Famous officers)

And then there are donkeys leading lions, such as Field Marshall Haigh who still insisted on cavalry charges against machine gun equipped trenches as part of the battle of the Somme.

Being unprepared for the future is understandable, but outright clinging to methods rendered obsolete in the previous century takes a special kind of out of touch chateau general.

These WW1 reenactments are getting out of hand.

He can pussy out all he wants - the damage is already done.