• 0 posts
  • 9 comments
Joined 3 years ago
Cake day: July 9th, 2023
  • All great, until he decides those bits of paper are worthless. Would that be an insane move that would destabilise the whole world economy? Yes. Does that mean he wont do it? I see no reason to assume that.

  • Even in cases like this justice must not just be done, but be seen to be done. It seems her guilt has been established, which is good; her sentencing comes next. It seem unlikely that there are any mitigating circumstances to reduce the punishment, but that judgement must be seen to be fair. The French citizenry are not renouned for their forebearance in the face of injustice, so I would be tempted to trust their system for now.

    ETA: In fact, it seems like the punishment has already been decreed: five years ineligibility to run for office, four years in prison (two suspended), and a fine. That puts her out of tbe running for president, and likely tarnishes her enough to keep her down even after 2030.

  • From the article:

    The 10-person team is trapped at the remote Sanae IV base, which is on a cliff edge about 105 miles inland from the ice shelf, by encroaching ice and weather as the southern hemisphere winter sets. Teams overwintering at the base are typically cut off for 10 months at a time. Sources told South Africa’s Sunday Times that the only way to leave the base now was via emergency medical evacuation to a neighbouring German base about 190 miles away.

    As far as I can see it’s currently the end of the Antarctic summer, winter is just starting, and will likely last until October. It sounds like something went badly wrong with both the psychological screening of the team members, and the decision for the ice breaker that delivered them to leave before the situation was resolved.

  • I have a strong suspicion that if I was suddenly attacked, my brain would dump all ideas of fighting back and just freeze, which of course allows the violence to happen.

    Find, and take, local self defence classes. Not necessarily martial arts classes (though they may be involved), but real world self defence. It’ll be grittier, nastier and much better practice. Get used to grappling and fighting in a controlled environment, and you’ll be much less likely to freeze if you need it in an emergency.

    You’re right that’ll it’ll take a long time to change at a cultural level, but that needs to start somewhere, and obe person doing it and then encouraging others could be a local catalyst.

  • Unfortunately, what I suspect will happen is some thing along the lines of:

    • US imposes tariffs on EU
    • EU responds with tariffs on kind
    • trump says the EU are being unfair and increases tariffs
    • EU increase tariffs in response
    • Days later, trump claims some sort of negotiated agreement and cancels tariff increase
    • EU cancels their tariff increase
    • trump claims is is a jeenious! as he got the EU to drop those horrible, evil, tariffs.

    We might get the condensed version without the increase steps, but the general shape of his process seems to be becoming clear.

  • In this, trump’s acting in the same way he did in his first term. He believes and promotes the opinions of the last person who spoke to him. Thus time Starmer was that person, and he’s been trying to get trump to maintain support for Ukraine for a while. This new stance will last until someone else comes along and persuades him otherwise. I would expect to see various E.U. leaders falling over themselves to say how great trump is for restarting support to avoid this happening.